Development and validation of a prediction model for microvascular invasion in hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Microvascular invasion (MVI) is an important prognostic factor affecting early recurrence and overall survival in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients after hepatectomy and liver transplantation, but it can be determined only in surgical specimens. Accurate preoperative prediction of MVI is conducive to clinical decisions. AIM: To develop and validate a preoperative prediction model for MVI in patients with HCC. METHODS: Data from 454 patients with HCC who underwent hepatectomy at the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University between May 2016 and October 2019 were retrospectively collected. Then, the patients were nonrandomly split into a training cohort and a validation cohort. Logistic regression analysis was used to identify variables significantly associated with MVI that were then included in the nomogram. We evaluated the discrimination and calibration ability of the nomogram by using R software. RESULTS: MVI was confirmed in 209 (46.0%) patients by a pathological examination. Multivariate logistic regression analysis identified four risk factors independently associated with MVI: Tumor size [odds ratio (OR) = 1.195; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.107-1.290; P < 0.001], number of tumors (OR = 4.441; 95%CI: 2.112-9.341; P < 0.001), neutrophils (OR = 1.714; 95%CI: 1.036-2.836; P = 0.036), and serum α-fetoprotein (20-400 ng/mL, OR = 1.955; 95%CI: 1.055-3.624; P = 0.033; >400 ng/mL, OR = 3.476; 95%CI: 1.950-6.195; P < 0.001). The concordance index was 0.79 (95%CI: 0.74-0.84) and 0.81 (95%CI: 0.74-0.89) in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. The calibration curves showed good agreement between the predicted risk by the nomogram and real outcomes. CONCLUSION: We have developed and validated a preoperative prediction model for MVI in patients with HCC. The model could aid physicians in clinical treatment decision making.

Astigmatism and its components in 12-year-old Chinese children: the Anyang Childhood Eye Study.

PURPOSE: To determine prevalence of refractive (RA), corneal (CA) and internal astigmatism (IA), including variation with gender and spherical equivalent refraction (SE), in a population of 12-year-old Chinese children. METHODS: A total of 1783 students with a mean age of 12.7 years (range 10.0-15.6 years) completed comprehensive eye examinations in the Anyang Childhood Eye Study. Data of cycloplegic refraction and corneal curvature were analysed. RESULTS: Prevalences of RA, CA and IA ≥1.0 D were 17.4% (95%CI 15.6% to 19.2%), 52.8% (50.5% to 55.1%)%) and 20.9% (19.0% to 22.8%), respectively. With different limits of astigmatism axes classification, including ±15°, ±20° and ±30°, RA and CA axes were mainly 'with-the-rule' (WTR) (ie, correcting axis of negative cylinders at or near 180°), while those for IA axes were mainly 'against-the-rule' (ATR) (ie, correcting axis of negative cylinders at or near 90°). RA was not different between the genders, but girls had higher prevalence and greater means of CA and IA. RA and CA increased in students with higher ametropia (more myopia and more hyperopia) and were the highest in a high myopic group (SE≤-6 D), while IA was stable across refraction groups. Children with RA higher than 0.50 D were more likely to have lens corrections (51%, 57%, 61% and 69% for magnitudes of ≥0.50 D, ≥0.75 D, ≥1.0 D and ≥1.5 D, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Prevalence of RA in the Chinese 12-year-old children was relatively high compared with other studies. RA and CA had mainly 'WTR' astigmatism, while IA was mainly ATR and partially compensated for CA. Girls had greater means and prevalences of CA and IA than did boys. Both RA and CA, but not IA, increased with refractive errors away from emmetropia.

Design, methodology and baseline data of a school-based cohort study in Central China: the Anyang Childhood Eye Study.

PURPOSE: To report the design, methods and baseline data of the Anyang Childhood Eye Study (ACES), aiming to determine the prevalence, incidence and risk factors of myopia and other ocular diseases in children in central China. METHODS: The ACES was a school-based cohort study conducted in Anyang city. Students have been examined and will be followed-up annually for 3-5 years. Ocular examinations included visual acuity, identification of amblyopia and strabismus, ocular biometry, optical coherence tomography, retinal photography, cycloplegic autorefraction, accommodative response, peripheral refraction, visual perception and so on. A questionnaire survey was performed to collect risk factors for myopia including near work, outdoor activity, parental myopia, birth history, habits of wearing spectacles and reading, living habits, food habits and so on. RESULTS: Of 3112 grade 1 and 2363 grade 7 students eligible for the ACES, 2893 (93.0%) and 2267 (95.9%) participated in the study, with a mean age of 7.1 years (range 5.7-9.3 years) and 12.7 years (range 10.0-15.9 years), and proportions of male to be 57.8% and 50.0%, respectively. The prevalence rates of myopia, high myopia, emmetropia and hyperopia were 3.9%, 0.1%, 72.9% and 23.3% in grade 1, and 67.3%, 2.7%, 31.4% and 1.2% in grade 7, respectively. Similar data were found in the children confined in 6-year-old and 12-year-old ages. CONCLUSIONS: The ACES is the first large-scale cohort study in China with baseline response rates over 90%. Continuous documentation of changes and risk factors of refractive errors in these cohorts would provide new insights into myopia control in school-aged children.

Screening for amblyopia among grade-1 students in primary school with uncorrected vision and stereopsis test in central China.

BACKGROUND: Screening for amblyopia at earliest is important for early treatment and better prognosis. This study aimed to evaluate the validity of uncorrected distant and near visual acuity (VA) and stereoacuity for screening amblyopia in grade-1 students in primary school in central China. METHODS: By stratified cluster sampling, 3112 grade-1 students from 11 Anyang primary schools were selected for the study. All the participants underwent uncorrected distant and near VA, stereopsis test, cycloplegic refraction, best corrected VA (BCVA), cover test, and ocular movement examination. VA was measured with a logarithm of the minimum angle of resolution (logMAR) chart. Stereoacuity was measured with the Lang II stereo card and TNO test. Amblyopia was defined as the BCVA less than or equal to 0.1 logMAR units of any eye in the absence of significant pathological abnormalities. The sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive value of uncorrected VA and stereoacuity for amblyopia were analyzed. RESULTS: Out of the 3112 eligible students, 2893 (92.96%) completed the examinations. The average age of the students was (7.10 ± 0.41) years. Screened by distant VA with low cutoff (logMAR 0.1), high cutoff (logMAR 0.0), and near VA (logMAR 0.0), 31.64%, 73.18%, and 50.23% students were abnormal, respectively. Screened by stereopsis test, only 4.69% students were abnormal. Diagnosed by a senior pediatric ophthalmologist, 61 students had amblyopia. The sensitivities of distant VA with low/high cutoff and near VA were 92.31%, 100%, and 80.77%, respectively, whereas that of stereoacuity by TNO test was 15.38%. Simultaneous testing of either two of the three tests improved the sensitivity. CONCLUSIONS: Distant VA test of high cutoff alone displays a high sensitivity but a low specificity. Simultaneous testing of distant VA of low cutoff and stereoacuity is a better choice to balance between sensitivity and specificity.

Multifocal versus single vision lenses intervention to slow progression of myopia in school-age children: a meta-analysis.

Myopia in school-aged children is a major public health problem in Asians that has been extensively studied. Multifocal lenses (MLs) are advocated as a substitute for single vision lenses (SVLs) to slow myopia progression in children, but results vary greatly across studies. We systematically searched currently available randomized controlled trials that compared the effects of MLs and SVLs in children. A meta-analysis of nine of these trials showed that MLs with powers ranging from +1.50 to +2.00D were associated with a statistically significantly decrease in myopia progression in school-aged children compared with SVLs. The benefit was greater in children with a higher level of myopia at baseline and sustained for a minimum of 24 months. Asian children appeared to have greater benefit from intervention with MLs than white children.